Model-based appraisal of alcohol minimum pricing and off-licensed trade discount bans in Scotland using the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model (v.2)

In 2009, ScHARR developed an adaptation of the Sheffield Alcohol Policy Model for the population of Scotland. The findings of this original modelling work were published in September 2009 (Purshouse et al, 2009b). A first update using more up to date evidence was published in April 2010 (Meng et al, 2010). Since this time, a series of more recent datasets have become available. These include:

• New adult consumption data from the Scottish Health Survey (SHeS) is available for 2010 (the data in the previous model relates to 2008).

• New purchase data from the Living Costs and Food Survey (LCF), previously known as the Expenditure and Food Survey (EFS) is available for 2006 to 2009 (the data in the previous model relates to 2001/2 to 2005/6).

• The Scottish Government has also procured market research data on the 2010 price distribution of off-trade alcohol (in terms of ethanol content) in Scotland from The Nielsen Company.

• New mortality data is available for 2010.

• New person specific hospitalisation data is available for 2009/10.

• Police recorded crime statistics and the Scottish Crime and Justice Survey (SCJS) data is available for 2009/10.

• The Labour Force Survey data is available for 2010.

The requirement of this research project was to update the previous Scotland model with the new data to provide revised estimates of the effects of current proposals for minimum pricing and prohibition of off-trade discounting. The technical details of the methodology have not been changed. Therefore the methods section (Chapter 2) of the original published report has not been reproduced in full. > > > > Read More